There will be major repercussions for Ireland in the event of a “no-deal” Brexit, according to a DCU professor.
Deiric Ó Broin, a lecturer in the School of Law and Government in DCU, believes that the framework provided by the EU would completely collapse if there was no deal between the EU and the UK.
“I’m not sure people realise how bad the worst possible scenario could be,” said Professor Ó Broin, explaining how it will affect people’s everyday lives. He used the example of M&S, who import all their sandwiches from Britain, making it more difficult to access if there was a no-deal.
“It could provide a context for renewed violence”, says Professor Ó Broin, if there was to be a hard border implemented between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. While it wouldn’t be at the scale of the Troubles, there is the potential for violence due to the social-economic marginalization that a no-deal would cause.
While the Common Travel Agreement is now under an EU framework, the British government has promised to update any legislation to ensure that Irish citizens still will retain their rights when travelling to the UK. According to the Irish Times, the CTA will remain in place regardless of how the UK leaves the EU.
To lessen the impact, the Irish government “has done as much as it’s humanly possible to do, and that isn’t an accolade for the current government”, says Professor Ó Broin. He calls it a “system response”, where every aspect of the civil service is working together to make the worst situation better.
While the parliamentary vote had been scheduled to take place on the 11th of December, Theresa May has postponed it. This could potentially help May garner more support for the current deal, or to renegotiate some terms with the EU.